Power curves prediction using empirical data regression on small scale compressed air energy storage

Authors

  • Widjonarko . Departement of Electrical Engineering Universitas Jember 68133, Jember, East Java, Indonesia, Phone: +6281358223843; Fax: +0331325400
  • R. Soenoko Department of Mechanical Engineering Universitas Brawijaya, Malang, Indonesia
  • S. Wahyudi Department of Mechanical Engineering Universitas Brawijaya, Malang, Indonesia
  • E. Siswanto Department of Mechanical Engineering Universitas Brawijaya, Malang, Indonesia

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.15282/jmes.13.4.2019.26.0482

Keywords:

Empirical, observation, prediction, power curve, regression, small scale-CAES

Abstract

The key to optimizing the system is to know the operating point of the system at the time of loading, or it is known as the power curve. However, to identify the power curve, the existing method is to model the mathematical of the system. Therefore some component characteristics need to be known and need additional observations if the component variable is unknown, and it becomes a long identification process. So, in this exploratory research will be presented the way to find out the power curve of a system without modeling mathematical of the system, but by using the polynomial regression technique. This regression technique form is using the empirical data of the power curve form parameter on SS-CAES prototype. The method is based on five approach model in which is the variation of loading sampling data to be used with the purpose is to find the best sampling of prediction. The data will be analyzed in the form of statistical parameters and the graph to show the evaluation process of this technique. From the results of the regression can be concluded that the power curve of SS-CAES can be identified with a high correlation value of 0.997 (99,745% accuracy) and the best way to take samples of data to be used in this technique is presented in the paper.

References

Luo X, Wang J, Dooner M, Clarke J. Overview of current development in electrical energy storage technologies and the application potential in power system operation. Applied Energy. 2015;137:511–536.

Akinyele DO, Rayudu RK. Review of energy storage technologies for sustainable power networks. Sustainable Energy Technologies Assessments. 2014;8:74–91.

Ghobadian B, Najafi G, Rahimi H, Yusaf TF. Future of renewable energies in Iran. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews 2009;13:689–695

Faisal M, Hannan MA, Ker PJ, Hussain A, Mansur M, Blaabjerg F. Review of energy storage system technologies in microgrid applications: Issues and challenges. IEEE Access. 2018;6:35143–35164.

Luo X, Wang J, Dooner M, Clarke J. Overview of current development in electrical energy storage technologies and the application potential in power system operation. Applied Energy. 2014;1–26.

Baqari F, Vahidi B. Small-compressed air energy storage system integrated with induction generator for metropolises: A case study. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews. 2013;21:365–370.

Salvini C. CAES systems integrated into a gas-steam combined plant: Design point performance assessment. Energies 2018;11.

Lv S, He W, Zhang A, Li G, Luo B, Liu X. Modelling and analysis of a novel compressed air energy storage system for trigeneration based on electrical energy peak load shifting. Energy Conversion and Management. 2016;135:394–401.

Ji W, Zhou Y, Sun Y, Zhang W, An B, Wang J. Thermodynamic analysis of a novel hybrid wind-solar-compressed air energy storage system. Energy Conversion and Management. 2017;142:176–187.

Zhang S, Wang H, Li R, Li C, Hou F, Ben Y. Thermodynamic analysis of cavern and throttle valve in large-scale compressed air energy storage system. Energy Conversion and Management. 2019;183:721–731.

Budt M, Wolf D, Span R, Yan J. A review on compressed air energy storage: Basic principles, past milestones and recent developments. Applied Energy. 2016;170:250–268.

He W, Wang J. Optimal selection of air expansion machine in Compressed Air Energy Storage: A review. Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews. 2018;87:77–95.

Luo X, Wang J, Dooner M, Clarke J, Krupke C. Overview of current development in compressed air energy storage technology. Energy Procedia. 2014;62:603–611.

Chen L, Chen L, Hu P, Sheng C, Xie M. A Novel compressed air energy storage (CAES) system combined with pre-cooler and using low grade waste heat as heat source. Energy. 2018;131:259–266.

De Lieto Vollaro R, Faga F, Tallini A, Cedola L, Vallati A. Energy and thermodynamical study of a small innovative compressed air energy storage system (micro-CAES). Energy Procedia. 2015;82:645–651.

Castellani B, Rossi F. Small-Scale Compressed air energy storage application for renewable energy integration in a listed building. Energies. 2018;11.

Wu S, Zhou C, Doroodchi E, Moghtaderi B. Thermodynamic analysis of a novel hybrid thermochemical-compressed air energy storage system powered by wind, solar and/or off-peak electricity. Energy Conversion Management. 2019;180:1268–1280.

Guo H, Xu Y, Zhang Y, et al. Off-design performance and an optimal operation strategy for the multistage compression process in adiabatic compressed air energy storage systems. Applied Thermal Engineering 2018.

He Q, Li G, Lu C, Du D, Liu W. A compressed air energy storage system with variable pressure ratio and its operation control. Energy. 2019;169:881–894.

Maisonnave O, Moreau L, Aubrée R, Benkhoris M. Optimal energy management of an underwater compressed air energy storage station using pumping systems. Energy Conversion and Management. 2018;165:771–782.

Widjonarko, Soenoko R, Slamet Wahyudi, Siswanto E. Comparison of intelligence control systems for voltage controlling on small scale compressed air energy storage. Energies. 2019;25–28.

Kokaew V, Sharkh SM. A hybrid method for maximum power tracking of a small scale CAES System. International Symposium on Communication Systems, Networks & Digital Sign. 2014:61–66.

Kokaew V, Moshrefi-torbati M, Sharkh SM. Maximum efficiency or power tracking of stand-alone small scale compressed air energy storage system. Energy Procedia. 2013;42:387–396.

Proczka JJ, Muralidharan K, Villela D, Simmons JH, Frantziskonis G. Guidelines for the pressure and efficient sizing of pressure vessels for compressed air energy storage. Energy Conversion and Management. 2013;65:597–605.

Majid ZAA, Ruslan MH, Sopian K, Othman MY, Azmi MSM. Study on performance of 80 watt floating photovoltaic panel. Journal Mechanical Engineering and Sciences. 2014;7:1150–1156.

Kokaew V, Sharkh SM, Moshrefi-torbati M. Maximum power point tracking of a small-scale compressed air energy storage system. IEEE Transaction on Industrial Electronic. 2016;63:985–994.

Luo X, Wang J, Shpanin L, Jia N, Liu G, Zinober ASI. Development of a mathematical model for vane-type air motors with arbitrary N vanes. International Conference of Applied and Engineering Mathematics. 2008 2008;1:1–6

Dvoĝák L, Fojtášek K, Řeháček V. Calculations of parameters and mathematical model of rotary air motor. EPJ Web Conference. 2017;143:02018.

Ashikur M, Khan R, Rahman MM, Kadirgama K, Maleque MA, Ishak M. Prediction of surface roughness of Ti-6Al-4V in electrical discharge machining: A regression model. Journal Mechanical Engineering and Sciences. 2011;1:16-24.

Volf G, Žic E, Ožanić N. Prediction of groundwater level fluctuations on grohovo landslide using rule based regression. Engineering Review. 2017;38:51–61.

Fumo N, Biswas MAR. Regression analysis for prediction of residential energy consumption. Renewables and Sustainable Energy Review. 2015;47:332–343.

Sinha P. Multivariate polynomial regression in data mining: Methodology, Problems and Solutions. 2013;4:962–965.

Chang Y, Wai K, Cheng E. Sensorless position estimation of switched reluctance motor at startup using quadratic polynomial regression. IET Electric Power Application. 2013;7:618–626.

Chen H, Zhang X, Liu J, Tan C. Compressed air energy storage. In: Ahmed Faheem Zobaa (ed) Energy Storage - Technologies Applied. 2013:101–112.

Ostertagová E. Modelling using polynomial regression. Procedia Engineering. 2012;48:500–506.

Rawlings JO, Pantula SG, Dickey D. Applied regression analysis : A research tool , Second Edition. 1998. Springer US, New York.

Wang Z, Yi D, Duan X, Yao J, Gu D. Measurement data modeling and parameter estimation. 2012.

Hayes AF. Introduction to mediation, moderation, and conditional process analysis. 2013.

Darlington RB, Hayes AF. Regression analysis and linear models: Concepts, Application and Implementation. 2016.

Downloads

Published

2019-12-30

How to Cite

[1]
W. ., R. Soenoko, S. Wahyudi, and E. Siswanto, “Power curves prediction using empirical data regression on small scale compressed air energy storage”, J. Mech. Eng. Sci., vol. 13, no. 4, pp. 6144–6164, Dec. 2019.